As if the Prime Minister didn't have enough on his plate at present, he now has to worry about the spectre of a Ken Livingstone clone in the White House. The likelihood of a Howard Dean US presidential candidacy has, according to the Guardian, caused alarm in Downing Street that it will create tensions in the 'formidable' transatlantic Democrat/Labour alliance. As the well-briefed Patrick Wintour reports, 'one ally of the Prime Minister has suggested that he would prefer anyone but Mr Dean as president, although in public Mr Blair will be careful to ensure Labour and Downing Street are seen as neutral in the Democrat race.' The worry is that Dean will fail to unseat President Bush because he is... well, off the wall. Or to put it more politely, the US equivalent of the anti-west, unreconstructed leftism that Blair and his great buddy Bill Clinton repudiated and which is embodied in the Mayor of London, Ken Livingstone.
Of course, Blair's problem this side of the Atlantic is the opposite one, that Livingstone is all too likely to be re-elected as London's mayor. Hence his breathtakingly cynical act in declaring that Red Ken is now a reformed character and turning him back into a Labour candidate at a click of his fingers. How irritating for him -- and no doubt for queasy Democrats --that he can't peform such tricks of legerdemain across the pond.
IMHO Blair doesn't need to worry, if Dean gets the Dem nomination Bush will win another term. If Clarke gets the nomination Labour can happily resore ties to the Democrats.
Howard Dean's campaign peaked a few weeks ago after his endorsement from Al Gore but since then his poll numbers have declined and the race has tightened. The nomination was his to lose but he seems to be talking his way out of it every time he opens his mouth.
Dean is still the Democratic front-runner but the most likely result of his nomination would be four more years for Bush.
Howard Dean 2004 = George McGovern 1972.
The Democratic Party is in a hole and digging with a frenzy. Dean is the Republican DREAM candidate. I think Trevor Howard...er...Wesley Clark would be a much more formidable opponent.
But in my heart I'm convinced the Democrats are in for 25 years of opposition during which time the judiciary will be made over in the Republican image and all the important civil service jobs will become Republican spoils.
That Ken Livingstone. Hmmmm,I don't know... There's something of the newt about him.