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October 30, 2003
Tory coronation

Wonders will never cease. David Davis did actually stand aside after all to allow Michael Howard a clear run at the Tory leadership. Did he cut a secret deal with Howard? Unlikely. The tactically shrewd Howard would avoid boxing himself in -- and doesn't need to do so, given the 'big mo' is behind him. As the most authoritative report in the Torygraph makes clear, Howard didn't have to do any deals. He just spelled out to Davis the brutal mathematics.

It's easy to see why the Tories are falling into line behind Howard. They think that although Iain Duncan Smith's programme has winning potential, particularly on public service reform, he was personally hopeless and weak. So they want an effective Tory man to promote existing Tory measures. But even with Howard's undoubted political and intellectual skills, will that be enough?

It's not just a question of whether he can shed his old nasty image and start charming the birds off the trees. If the party is to win, it has to address a much more fundamental, existential problem. Public service reform, necessary as it is, isn't enough. After all, the Labour government is making exactly the same noises about decentralisation. Never mind that it's all smoke and mirrors -- that's what the public think about the Tories' programme, too.

To win, Howard will have to make clear what the Tories are fundamentally about that is totally at odds with what the Labour government is about. That's trickier than it seems, because the old Tory message about tax cuts and freedom sounds like an agenda for the rich while everyone else can go hang. What most concerns people is surely social disintegration -- and that takes them bang into all those contentious moral areas they try so hard to avoid, like family breakdown, authority of parents and teachers, real zero tolerance on crime especially all drug abuse, and so on. That's where the government is vulnerable and where it cannot possibly follow, even in rhetorical form. Howard has to provide the country with what is fashionably called a 'narrative' -- or what used to be called political vision. Can he do it?

Posted by melanie at October 30, 2003

Comments

IDS... probably always was too decent a man for the dirty game that British politics has now become. Ditto William Hague.

As someone who'd (still) like to be able to vote Tory but can't see my way to doing so, I'm afraid I simply do not trust Michael Howard. I've watched him be evasive, sophistic and disingenuous once too often. I'm also a fan of Anne Widdecombe, so I'm swayed by her famous judgement of Mr Howard's character too.

Speaking of Anne Widdecombe, there's a lady who WOULD grasp the moral and social nettle that Melanie Phillips rightly says should be the Tory's defining agenda.

Polly Toynbee in yesterday's Guardian was actually urging Ken Clarke to run for the leadership. If you're interested, I enclose the letter I was prompted to write to her in reply:

Dear Ms Toybee,

You could not have done the chances of Ken Clarke succeeding Mr Duncan
Smith more harm than by contributing the article that appeared in today's
Guardian.

With respect, that he has your support is almost gauranteed to make most
conservatives run a mile from him; at the very least, the resulting alarm
bells will cause us to review just why it is that Mr Clarke never has, and
I hope never will, lead the Tory party despite otherwise having the
experience, stature and charisma to do so.

I submit that left-liberals such as yourself feel an affinity with Mr
Clarke precisely because he represents the centrist wing of your own
political camp. Of course, Labour has let it be known that it "fears" Ken
Clarke, for precisely the reason that the Tories genuinely feared New
Labour before 1997 - namely that the challenger was manifestly capable of
fighting and winning on the incumbent's own ground. After the Thatcher and
Major years, this meant Labour swallowing market economics; in 2003 it
would mean the Tories reconciling themselves for good to social liberalism
and European "integration".

If they did so, of course Labour would have reason to be worried as it
would deprive them of their monopoly over the left's idea of a moral
high-ground, just as New Labour deprived the Tories of their monopoly over
"responsible economic policy". For it isn't to New Labour that you
liberals owe your ultimate loyalty but, naturally enough, to your own
ideological shibboleths. I'm not surprised you would be more than happy to
see New Labour given a run for their money by the Tories if it shifted the
political centre of gravity in this country firmly and irreversibly to the
left.

It would, of course, also destroy what genuine choice there still remains
for the voter in our liberal Brave New World, and send public cynicism of
politics to new depths. Perhaps, though, if the Tories were to finally
abandon their natural constituency (that is, the world outside NW1, of
"decrepit blimps and blue rinses from the shires") by choosing a leader
from the so-called centre, it might make way for a new political party, to
replace the shambles that the Tory party has now become, as the party of
traditional conservative values.

In any case, I wonder that you think you might be aiding Ken Clarke's
prospects by lending your support to him so publicly.

Yours sincerely,

Simon Jones

Posted by: at October 30, 2003 11:48 AM

The dilemma for the Tories is that they talk a great deal about personal responsibility except
when it comes to themseleves.The problems we have today stem from the "No such thing as society" philosophy which motivates every fraudster whether they are fiddling their tax returns or cheating the benefits system?.

Posted by: Nicholas Kissen at October 30, 2003 01:57 PM

My opinion is that Britain is beyond the tipping point when it comes to individual responsibility as a social goal. But, as to the Tory leadership, too many people saw Howard in the last Conservative government. Davis for a change.

Posted by: Theodopoulos Pherecydes at October 30, 2003 04:34 PM

The "no such thing as society" mis- qoute was well played by NL. Margaret Thatcher was merely directing it at people who believed the state was a free ride,and the tax payer would always pick up the bill for their life style choices.

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